List of Abbreviations
Zusammenfassung
Summary
1 Systems thinking approach used in the SimRess modelling work
1.1 Conceptual modelling and systems analysis
1.1.1 Causal loop diagrams and group modelling process in SimRess project
1.1.2 Potentials and challenges of CLDs
1.2 System dynamics modelling and integrated scenario analysis
1.3 Dynamic modelling of the structures of complex system interdependencies – annotations from an applied econometrician’s perspective
1.4 How do two modelling approaches complement each other in terms of system analysis?
2 Policy mixing as a concept for systemic resource
2.1 The need for more systemic responses in resource policy
2.2 The concept of policy mixing for resource policy
2.3 Promises and challenges of policy mixing
2.4 Policy mixing for systemic resource policy in the SimRess project – approach, challenges and lessons learnt
2.4.1 A systemic resource policy mix approach tackling key drivers and trends
2.4.1.1 Setting objectives and targets
2.4.1.2 Underlying conceptual causal system model
2.4.1.3 Selecting promising policy instruments
2.4.1.4 Undertaking ex-ante assessments
2.4.2 A resource policy mix approach based on selected ProgRess II policy instruments
2.4.2.1 Setting objectives and targets
2.4.2.2 Underlying conceptual causal system model
2.4.2.3 Selecting promising instruments
2.4.2.4 Undertaking ex-ante assessments
2.4.3 A systemic resource policy mix approach aimed at contributing to more ambitious, longer-term resource policy targets
2.4.3.1 Setting objectives and targets
2.4.3.2 Underlying conceptual causal system model
2.4.3.3 Selecting promising instruments
2.4.3.4 Undertaking ex-ante assessments
2.5 Lessons learnt on policy mixing for systemic resource policy
2.5.1 Conceptual development of the policy mix approaches
2.5.2 Scientific assessment of the policy mix approaches
3 Main conclusions
4 References used
5 Appendix
List of figures and tables
Figure 1: Integrative systems science
Figure 2: A sample Causal Loop Diagram (CLD)
Figure 3: Two phases and six steps of the group modelling process
Figure 4: Causal Loop Diagram with the theme of private household consumption
Figure 5: With mining industry, various metal ores are provided to different metal industries to be processed into basic metals. Different fabricated metal industries then turn these basic metals into fabricated metals.
Figure 6: Flow chart showing main services/industries using metal ore and basic metals
Figure 7: Causal loop diagram showing cause effect relations, feedbacks and time delays in the metal sector
Figure 8: Causal loop diagram showing the demand for cars and the production, and the causal linkages between these factors
Figure 9: Heuristic concept for policy mix development
Figure 10: CLD for the consumption area of food (Koca and Sverdrup 2014a, 24)
Figure 11: Screenshot of the SimRess consistency matrix in EIDOS
Table 1: Stakeholder categorisation
Table 2: List of selected policy approaches from ProgRess strategic approaches and action areas
Table 3: Snapshot of the option space created for the systemic resource policy mix tackling key drivers and trends (cf. section 2.4.1)