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Future Scenarios

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Future Scenarios

Deliverable 1.4 – Sustainable Shipping and Environment of the Baltic Sea Region (SHEBA)

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Fridell, Erik et. al. 2015: Future Scenarios. Deliverable 1.4. BONUS Research project Sustainable Shipping and Environment of the Baltic Sea Region (SHEBA).

This report presents scenarios for shipping in the Baltic Sea for the years 2030 and 2040. The following issues are addressed and the impact from shipping in these scenarios on the Baltic Sea region will be studied: What is the effect of a further slow steaming of shipping in the Baltic Sea; What is the effect of a modal shift from land to sea?; What is the impact of an introduction of a NECA by 2021?; What would be the effect if emissions to water from shipping are eliminated?; What would a large introduction of LNG as a marine fuel imply?; What can be done with further environmental regulations for leisure boats? Finally, what can be achieved with measures in ports?

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Language
English
Authorship
Benjamin Boteler
Erik Fridell, Hulda Winnes, Rasmus Parsmo (IVL)
Urszula Kowalczyk, Jakub Piotrowicz (MIG)
Jukka-Pekka Jalkanen, Lasse Johansson (FMI)
Volker Matthias (HZG)
Erik Ytreberg (Chalmers)
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Other contributors (name-affiliation): Ida Maja Hassellöv (Chalmers), Thong Tien Nguyen (SDU), Markus Quante (HZG), Jana Moldanova (IVL), Manuel Lago (Ecologic Institute), Ilja Maljutenko (TUT)

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52 pp.
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