Skip to main content

International Oil Extraction Levy

 
Cover page of the report “International Oil Extraction Levy – Design recommendations and impact analysis,” published by Ecologic Institute and the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ). Authors: Prof. Dr. Luan Santos, Dr. Michael Jakob, Jonathan Gardiner, Flora Dicke, and Benjamin Görlach. Publication date: 27 June 2025.

© Ecologic Institute, 2025

International Oil Extraction Levy

Design recommendations and impact analysis

Publication
Citation

Santos, L., Jakob, M., Gardiner, J., Dicke, F., & Görlach, B. (2025). International oil extraction levy: Design recommendations and impact analysis. Ecologic Institute.

This report explores the design and implications of an international oil extraction levy as a mechanism to mobilize new sources of climate finance. The assessed levy places a price on the embedded CO₂ in extracted crude oil, increasing production costs and likely raising oil prices for final consumers. By internalising part of the climate costs of fossil fuels, the mechanism aligns with the polluter pays principle.

Our analysis shows that such a levy holds considerable revenue potential. Under the central scenario (S2), where a small group of high-income countries participate and levy rates increase incrementally (starting at $5/tCO2 increasing by $5 per year), annual revenues could reach $85 billion by 2035. This amount represents 28% of the $300 billion climate finance target set at COP29 in Baku. More ambitious scenarios – with full participation and steeper price trajectories – could yield up to $571 billion annually. These estimates illustrate the significant financial potential of introducing an oil extraction levy at the global level.

However, the levy would raise the world market price of oil, passing additional costs onto consumers, even though household impacts are expected to be relatively modest. Targeted compensation schemes for vulnerable households are essential to improve acceptability of the policy. Given that an oil extraction levy represents a voluntary mechanism where countries must opt in, political feasibility is the most significant barrier. Tax sovereignty and difficulties integrating new levies into national legal systems represent further barriers. Overcoming these will require not just technical design, but deep political strategy, international cooperation, and sustained policy innovation.

A global oil extraction levy could raise up to $571 billion annually for climate finance – applying the polluter pays principle. Political feasibility remains the key challenge.

Contact

More content from this project

Language
English
Authorship
Benjamin Görlach
Prof. Dr. Luan Santos
Dr. Michael Jakob
Funding
Published by
Year
Dimension
28 pp.
Project
Project ID
Table of contents
Keywords
international oil extraction levy, climate finance, carbon pricing, embedded carbon, fossil fuels, polluter pays principle, climate mitigation, climate adaptation, carbon levy revenue, global climate policy, climate justice, innovative finance, equity-based design, domestic carbon levy, oil market modeling, climate cost internalisation
impact analysis, scenario modeling, macroeconomic analysis, distributional impact assessment, policy design, revenue projection, oil market modeling, equity impact evaluation, policy scenario comparison, quantitative estimation, sensitivity analysis, alternative policy instruments evaluation