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State of EU Progress to Climate Neutrality

 
Cover page of the "2025 Flagship Report: State of EU progress to climate neutrality" by the European Climate Neutrality Observatory (ECNO). The image shows a panoramic view of a green urban park with various climate-related icons overlayed, and a city skyline in the background. The title highlights the report’s focus on indicator-based assessment across 13 building blocks for a climate-neutral future. Dated September 2025.

© Ecologic Institute, 2025

State of EU Progress to Climate Neutrality

2025 Flagship Report

Publication
Citation

Velten, Eike Karola et al. 2025: 2025 Flagship Report: State of EU progress to climate neutrality. An indicator-based assessment across 13 building blocks for a climate neutral future. European Climate Neutrality Observatory (ECNO).

The EU is making promising progress on the road to climate neutrality but needs to keep up the pace to achieve the goal. This is the result of the third progress report by the European Climate Neutrality Observatory (ECNO), which has analysed developments in over 150 indicators across all areas of society. The weak points identified provide crucial information for the work of the EU institutions.

The transition to climate neutrality is unfolding across all parts of the EU economy. ECNO’s 2025 assessment shows positive momentum in several policy areas, most notably in the EU’s cleantech industrial base and innovation ecosystem, which is now rated on track. Yet, despite encouraging progress, financing gaps, governance shortcomings, and persistent policy blind spots continue to hold back the pace of the transition.

ECNO's methodology provides a detailed picture of the transition, combining 147 indicators across 13 'building blocks' of a climate neutral society with a systematic analysis of EU policy developments. This enables ECNO to track not only sectoral progress but also the enabling conditions that are necessary for a clean, fair, and competitive transition.

Promising momentum, but major hurdles remain

In this year’s assessment, 12 of 13 building blocks support the EU’s clean transition. The outlook for Clean Technologies has improved significantly, with manufacturing capacities for solar, wind, batteries, heat pumps, and electrolysers expanding. Solar power reached a new milestone in 2025: for the first time, it became the largest single source of electricity in the EU. Carbon Dioxide Removal also improved, moving from "wrong direction" to "far too slow." At the same time, jobs in renewable and environment-related sectors are on the rise, including in traditional industrial regions.

However, bottlenecks remain. Financing gaps – amounting to EUR 344 billion in 2023 – are slowing down building renovations, EV uptake, heat pump deployment, and wind expansion. Governance has been downgraded due to weak frameworks for citizen participation and uneven implementation at Member State level. External vulnerabilities also weigh heavily: fossil fuel imports reached EUR 400 billion in 2024, and supply chain dependencies, especially on China, expose the EU to geopolitical risks.

Agricultural policy continues to lag behind consumer trends. Although beef consumption has declined and food waste remains alarmingly high, EU subsidies still overwhelmingly support emissions-intensive farming. Social disparities are visible as well: 11% of EU citizens were considered energy-poor in 2023, while national climate assemblies have only been one-off exercises in a handful of countries.

Overall, the EU is advancing towards climate neutrality, but the current pace is still insufficient to meet the 2050 target.

Key policy actions in the next EU cycle can accelerate the transition to a competitive and just climate neutral Europe, such as:

  • Creating a supportive investment framework for clean goods, technologies, and decarbonisation efforts.
  • Removing bottlenecks to the transition, including permitting, infrastructure, and skills shortages.
  • Increasing demand for clean goods and technologies and fostering lead markets.
  • Advancing the implementation of EU legislation at Member State level.
  • Strengthening climate considerations in EU foreign policy and international diplomacy.
  • Building resilience through data-informed climate adaptation.
  • Reorienting the agrifood system to benefit both farmers and the planet.
  • Enhancing international climate finance to drive global action.

Read more in the full report or in the executive summary. More detailed insights into each building block, along with interactive figures for many indicators, are available on the ECNO website.

The third annual assessment of progress towards climate neutrality confirms that the EU is moving in the right direction, but that the pace is still too slow.

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Language
English
Authorship
Clara Calipel
Anna Cornaggia
Markus Hagemann
Finn Hossfeld
Ciarán Humphreys
Lukas Kahlen
Simon Lalieu
Mia Moisio
Natalie Pelekh
Aleksander Śniegocki
Aneta Stefańczyk
Michał Wojtyło
Credits

Contributions: Laurent Compere, Ramiro de la Vega, Vivian Depoues, Jacob Ferrell, Julia Jägle, Anna Mansilla Urban, Vincent Matton, Hugh McDonald, Julien Pestiaux
With special thanks to: Erica Hope, Myriam Castanié and Donal Mac Fhearraigh, as well as colleagues from ECF and from our institutes for providing valuable feedback
Branding: 89up 
Design: Jennifer Rahn (Ecologic Institute)

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Table of contents
Keywords
climate neutrality, EU climate policy, European Green Deal, ECNO report, 2025 EU climate progress, clean technologies Europe, renewable energy EU, climate governance EU, decarbonisation Europe, carbon dioxide removal, solar energy EU, wind power EU, heat pumps Europe, EU energy transition, clean industrial base, climate indicators EU, energy poverty EU, fossil fuel imports EU, climate investment Europe, policy gaps EU, agri-food system transition, climate jobs EU, environmental jobs Europe, carbon neutrality 2050, EU sustainability targets, European Union, EU Member States, Europe, China, traditional industrial regions, EU institutions, EU economy, national climate assemblies, EU foreign policy
Europe
indicator-based assessment, 147 indicators, 13 building blocks of climate neutrality, systematic policy analysis, cross-sectoral analysis, progress measurement, monitoring of enabling conditions, assessment of policy frameworks, sectoral progress tracking, integration of policy and data analysis, status monitoring of transition areas